Stay updated on the topics you care about with email alerts. Revisiting the resilience of the age limit norm and exploring two counterfactuals. [1/3]Chinese President Xi Jinping attends the opening ceremony of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China October 16, 2022. The four charges were filed against Ressa and her news site Rappler by President Rodrigo Duterte's administration in 2018. President Yoon Suk-yeol has consolidated his global vision for South Korea by embracing strategic clarity in the China-U.S. competition. Oct 22 (Reuters) - China's Communist Party wrapped up its twice-a-decade congress on Saturday, approving amendments cementing Xi Jinping's iron grip on the party and revealing a new Central Committee missing two key officials lacking close ties to the leader. These longstanding judgments provided a basis for China to concentrate on domestic development while it sought to preserve a benign periphery conducive to Chinas rise. Click here to subscribe for full access. Tokyos dramatic shifts on defense and China policy are likely to have ramifications for New Zealand. Welcome to Foreign Policy 's China Brief. The panelists included Anne Richards, CEO of Fidelity International; Carmine Di Sibio, CEO of Ernst & Young; Mathias Miedreich, CEO of Umicore; and Lubna S. Olayan, chair of the executive committee of Olayan Financing Company. A Warner Bros. This weeks session was the first of several high-level economic policy debates. Chinas top leader warned his compatriots that their country had entered a period of strategic opportunities, risks and challenges and that they must be prepared to deal with worst-case scenarios. To weather the storm, Xis answer was, of course, that the Partys authority must be further strengthened (with himself at the core) so that China can boost its technological self-reliance, its socialist rule of law with Chinese characteristics, the PLAs capabilities, and its soft power and international influence. The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party was held from October 16 to October 22, 2022. ", "---", "__", "Xi Jinping has surrounded himself with loyalists", "Hu Jintao's Exit From China's Communist Party Congress Causes a Stir", "Was Hu Jintao's removal from China's 20th party congress suspicious or not? If elected, she would become the third Shinawatra to lead Thailand after her father and aunt both of whom were removed by military coups. Compiled by Lincoln Feast and William Mallard; Editing by Michael Perry, China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. October 25, 2022 What Institutional Norms Are Left After the 20th Party Congress? Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. First, enlargement of the PSC would have been an easier alternative to Xis chosen path of pushing out two age-eligible sitting PSC members. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. By submitting your email, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive email correspondence from us. Members of China's ruling Communist Party met for the 20th Party Congress, a leadership reshuffle that happens twice a decade. But the third and most disturbing possibility is that it was planned, and we just witnessed Xi deliberately and publicly humiliate his predecessor, Palmer added. And then on Saturday they elected a new Central Committee. It raises the question: How do companies with large global footprints decide which side to pick? On October 23, the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) finally ended, with a dramatic closing ceremony. [33][34] Subsequent official voting results showed that all proposals passed unanimously with no abstentions or negative votes. Editor's note: General Secretary Xi Jinping clarified the essential requirements of Chinese-style modernization in the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China: adhere to the leadership of the Communist Party of China, adhere to socialism with Chinese characteristics, achieve high-quality development, develop people's democracy throughout . Both were established practice in the past and could not conceivably have eluded Xis mind. Jonathan Pershing, formerly the Biden administrations No. | View Comments (). Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. Xi praised the Party for its achievements during the past five years, including successfully building a moderately prosperous society in time for its centenary, protecting the Chinese people to the greatest extent possible through its zero-COVID-19 policy, restoring order in Hong Kong, countering Taiwan independence, and adopting a fighting spirit to safeguard Chinas dignity and core interests. Xis positive depiction of these policies contrasts starkly with views in Washington and capitals across Europe and Asia, where Beijings major policy choices of late have been seen as threatening or counterproductive at best. China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. [17][18] During the speech, he defended China's zero-COVID approach to the COVID-19 pandemic in mainland China, said that Hong Kong had "a major transition from chaos to governance", advocated for Taiwan's "peaceful reunification" but vowed to not renounce the use of force, advocated for "common prosperity," and denounced corruption. We have witnessed age-eligible ordinary Politburo members being denied a membership renewal at the 16th Party Congress election overseen by Jiang Zemin in 2002 (one case, Li Tieying, who was 66 at the time), at the 18th Party Congress election overseen by Hu Jintao in 2012 (one case, concerning Wang Lequan, who was not yet 68 when the congress convened), and, on an expanded scale, at the 19th Party Congress election overseen by Xi Jinping in 2017 (three cases concerning Li Yuanchao, Liu Qibao, and Zhang Chunxian), which are all within the remit of the rule. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. Chinas ruling Communist Party will hold its five-yearly congress beginning on October 16, with Xi Jinping poised to secure an historic third leadership term and cement his place as the countrys most powerful leader since Mao Zedong. Near the end of the Party Congress, delegates amended the Peoples Republic of China (PRC)s charter to resolutely oppose and contain Taiwan independence. Alongside this amendment, Chinas leaders hedged on two longstanding judgments about Chinas strategic environment, first that peace and development are the trend of the times, and second, that China is facing a period of strategic opportunity to accomplish its national objectives. "All of his rivals, potential and real, have been forced out of the Politburo Standing Committee and Xi loyalists took their place. Interestingly, the least surprising electoral outcome was Xi Jinpings securing of a third term as general party secretary (GPS). Iran has pledged to sue the United States for what it claims is Washingtons direct involvement in the unrest that has been roiling the country. He is expected to exert largely unchallenged control over key appointments and policy directives at a Congress that many China-watchers liken to a coronation. Beijings strict dynamic zero Covid policy has led to frequent and disruptive lockdowns that have frustrated citizens, battered its economy and made China a global outlier. French President Emmanuel Macron meets Pope Francis. * In a highly unusual move, China delayed the release of key economic indicators scheduled for publication this week. [7], On 15 October 2022, a preparatory meeting of the party congress was presided by CCP general secretary Xi Jinping, which elected the Presidium of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress and the Qualification Review Committee. Since assuming power, Xi, the son of a communist revolutionary, has strengthened the party and its role across society and eliminated space for dissent. The world's second-largest economy is slowing and facing a potentially painful rebalancing of its investment- and property-led model. As the Egyptian economy falters, Sisi is turning to the Chinese government for support. 11/04/2022 | The CCP 20th Party Congress and China's Road Ahead. China Given that the two hard cases of violation concern positions of the military and foreign relations respectively, the violations can be considered as exceptions and justified due to the heightened concern for security in this congressional term. Just $5 a month. With little change expected in broad policy direction, key outcomes from the Congress will revolve around personnel who joins Xi on the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) and who replaces Premier Li Keqiang, who is set to retire in March. Xis work report reflected a mix of both triumphalism and a warning of turbulence ahead. Delivered Wednesday. * In a highly unusual situation, Chinese former President Hu Jintao was unexpectedly escorted out of the closing ceremony. Watch FPs Ravi Agrawal in conversation with two of the contributors to the magazines cover story, Anne-Marie Slaughter and retired Gen. David Petraeus, as they reflect on whats surprised themand how to prevent future wars. Surprise 2: I knew that Hu Jintaos protgs, those leaders whose careers advanced largely through the Communist Youth League ranks (known as tuanpai), would face diminished representation in the leadership, but I never expected that the PSC or Politburo would not include at least one tuanpai leader. History will tell. Surprise 3: I predicted that Xi would not follow conventional norms, but I did not expect that the primary candidate for premier, Li Qiang, would lack experience serving as a vice premier, a prerequisite throughout PRC history. The CCPs age limit norm refers to a non-democratic but relatively transparent mechanism that regulates both the exits of sitting members of the Politburo and the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) and the accessions of new members to these bodies. "[39][40], Subsequent footage released on 25 October by Channel News Asia captures an apparent argument about official papers between Hu and Li Zhanshu before Xi requested for his removal. Hus unannounced and clumsy removal was either a cock-upor a conspiracy, as FPs James Palmer writes, with some possible explanations being a health crisis or the emergence of new information that rattled Xi. * Still, the country's vast financial bureaucracy has been busily tamping down ripples of turmoil across its currency and stock markets, with state banks and companies stepping in to provide support and reassurance to investors. Watch the full interview for insights on how industry thinks about deglobalization, the U.S.-China rivalry, the war in Ukraine, and much more. China conducted "precision missile strikes" Thursday in waters off Taiwan's coasts as part of military exercises that have raised tensions in the region to their highest level in decades following a visit by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. * Russia's Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un were quick to congratulate Xi on his third term in power. They understand that to make their claims heard, they should focus on bread-and-butter issues while proclaiming unflagging support for the Party. Delivered weekdays. Ironically, I doubt that Xis father would have agreed with the system he has built. [20], The Congress saw several amendments to the CCP Constitution, adding the Two Establishes and Two Safeguards, which call for establishing the status of Xi Jinping as the core of the CCP and establishing the guiding role of Xi Jinping Thought. Since Barilla markets its pasta with the Italian flags colors, they added, it is further perpetuating the notion that the products are authentic pastas from Italy.. In this photo released by China's Xinhua News Agency, air force and naval aviation corps of the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) fly planes at an unspecified location in China, Thursday, Aug. 4, 2022. Join the conversation on this and other recent Foreign Policy articles when you subscribe now. Please follow our comment guidelines, stay on topic, and be civil, courteous, and respectful of others beliefs. COLOMBO - A high-level delegation of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has visited Sri Lanka and introduced the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress to all sectors of the society in the island country. The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), commonly referred to as rsh D (Chinese: ), opened in Beijing on 16 October 2022 and closed on 22 October 2022. Now, he is much better. A highly choreographed event, the Party Congress is meant to be seamlessbut that was disrupted on Saturday, when officials escorted Hu Jintao, Xis predecessor, out of the room. The Indian government has tread carefullyand invited trouble. Preparations for the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress began in 2021 and ended with a plenary session of the 19th Central Committee, a few days prior to the 20th National Congress. In the meeting, it was decided that Wang Huning will serve as the secretary-general of the party congress. FPs Ravi Agrawal sat down with industry leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, to discuss how businesses can build resilience amid a turbulent geopolitical era. A day after the 20th Party Congress, Xi is expected again to be conferred the roles of General Secretary of the Communist Party and Chairman of the Central Military Commission. It was one of the countrys worst incidents of tribal fighting in years. Since assuming power, Xi has quashed dissent in the once-restive regions of Tibet and Xinjiang and brought Hong Kong to heel with a sweeping national security law. [48], Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Sunday on securing an unprecedented third term as leader. The industry leader for online information for tax, accounting and finance professionals. The two also discussed climate cooperation with China, the road to COP28, and much else. Is the paradox meant to demonstrate that he has grabbed power not for self-glorification and vanity but only because it is needed to achieve his New Era political project? October 21, 2022 January 6, 2023 Archives & Recordings, High Profile Events. Then I will explain to what extent the age limit norm has been observed, or, from the reverse perspective, violated, based on an analysis of 37 cases concerning membership status changes at the Politburo and the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) at the 20th Congress. In contrast, Xi seems to have signaled that China no longer enjoys such conditions; China must instead embrace the need to struggle in the face of an increasing hostile external environment. [54] The renminbi also nearly fell to a rate of 7.31 to the dollar. 8:43 AM EDT, Tue August 30, 2022. As I explained elsewhere, chairman is the highest title that a CCP leader can strive for. And what happens if the United States and China continue down a path of decoupling? [9], On 13 October 2022, three days prior to the opening of the CCP National Congress, the Beijing Sitong Bridge protest took place. I expected that he would need to promote younger sixth generation (6G) leaders, but I never predicted that the two younger leaders, Li Qiang and Ding Xuexiang, would both be positioned to serve in the State Council as premier and executive vice premier. Boris Pistorius, a longtime politician with little foreign policy experience, will host his counterparts later this week to discuss Ukraine. The 20 th Congress of the Communist Party of China, which was held in Beijing from October 16 to 22, 2022, is crucial for the development of the . Nine of them retired, as dictated by the rule. Foreign Policys flagship daily newsletter with whats coming up around the world today. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Ling Li teaches Chinese studies at the University of Vienna. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world's media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. Oct 18 (Reuters) - China's 20th Communist Party Congress began on Sunday, with Xi Jinping poised to clinch his third five-year stint in charge - a mandate that would secure him as the. Photo by Noel Celis/AFP. Click + to receive email alerts when new stories are published on Updated 1:38 AM EDT, Sun October 23, 2022. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. Join in-depth conversations and interact with foreign-policy experts with. 1 brand of pasta, but it actually produces its noodles for the U.S. market in Iowa and New York, leading two customers to sue it for false advertising. On October 16, 2022, the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party opened in Beijing with General Secretary Xi Jinping delivering a two-hour report to 2,296 delegates. U.S. President Joe Biden meets Israeli President Isaac Herzog. Such paths include, most notably, an enlargement of the PSC and the reactivation of the party chairmanship. by James Palmer, Veteran Israeli Diplomat: We Are Only Part of the West When It Suits Us by Ben Lynfield, Xis Third Term Is a Gift in Disguise by Craig Singleton, Barilla claims to be Italys No. After putting his loyalists into positions of power with this party congress, Xi will have a bigger mandate to push through whatever policies he wants, said Alfred Wu, associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore. What Happened at Chinas 20th Party C Its main task is, in theory, to decide on the composition of the Central Committee, which in the legal fiction in turn decides, immediately following the Congress, whether to grant current General Secretary Xi a third mandate, and determines the composition of the Standing Committee of the Politburo . Asia, South [8] On the same day, the presidium of the National Congress, chaired by Wang Huning, held its first session. But for Xi, successfully resolving the Taiwan question would secure his place in Chinese history alongside Maos. [42][43][44] The Economist said that while it is possible the act was deliberate, it was more likely that Hu was not feeling well, saying that the event "looked consistent with a sudden episode of mental confusion". Friday, Oct. 28: The U.K. Conservative Party is expected to announce a winner in its leadership election. Delivered Wednesday. * The 37 cases pertain to membership status changes of all sitting members of the 19th Politburo and the PSC (excluding the GPS) as well as newly admitted members promoted from the Central Committee at the 20th Congress. Hong Kong tells teachers to study Xi Jinping's speech. The incident was not broadcast in China and both Hu's and Hu's son's names were blocked by Chinese censors. Oct 23 (Reuters) - China's Xi Jinping secured a precedent-breaking third leadership term and introduced a new top governing body stacked with loyalists, cementing his place as the country's most. She has published extensively on the Chinese political-legal system as well as corruption and anti-corruption in China. The meeting will spotlight "the major achievements and historical experience of the party's struggle in the . Paraguays upcoming election in late April could see the country establish ties with China at long last. Despite headwinds that have buffeted his path to a third term from a moribund economy, the Covid-19 pandemic and rare public protests to rising frictions with the West and tensions over Taiwan Xi is poised to secure a mandate to pursue his grand vision for the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation for years to come. Many of the problems from the initial draft have been solved. Chinese President Xi Jinping waves after speaking at a press event at the 20th Party Congress at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Oct. 23. sia invaded Ukraine, and businesses around the world confronted a decision on whether to pull out of the Russian market. 11/03/2022 Andrea Yang The Communist Party of China (CPC) concluded its 20th National Congress on the 22 nd of October, marking the end of an old term and the start of a new term. ar, and how can we apply those lessons to make sure we dont sleepwalk into yet another war? 2023-01-18T04:36:49.482Z. The new Politburo is an emphatic statement of Xis dominance over the party.". And it underscored the huge perception gap between Beijing and its Western counterparts on Chinas recent track record. Beijing appears to be developing a velvet hammer for the people of Taiwan a set of policies designed to be comforting for those who embrace them, and hard for those who oppose them. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. [35] The 20th Central Committee was also elected on the same day; Xi Jinping and Wang Huning were among the members of the new Central Committee while Li Keqiang, Li Zhanshu and Wang Yang were not. To be clear, though, the velvet seems to be wearing thinner while the steel gets harder with each passing year. Turnover norms for Beijings top governing body could check Xis power and boost pro-market reformers. On China's position on the world stage, he said that "Chinas international influence, appeal and power to shape the world has significantly increased". After having demonstratively demobilized any possible opposition against him at the Politburo, it is hard to imagine that a motion to reactivate the CCP chairmanship, if it were made, could have been effectively challenged. For Saudis like me, nothing could be more disheartening than a divorce from the United States. Senior Fellow, Center for East Asia Policy Studies, John L. Thornton China Center. Did you encounter any technical issues? But its Politburo will meet this November 8 to 11 in Beijing for "the most important meeting ahead of next year's national congress," according to The South China Morning Post. The Chinese delegation, led by deputy head of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee Chen Zhou, visited Sri Lanka from . The last few years have brought historic challenges for multinational companies. Nonresident Senior Fellow, Center for East Asia Policy Studies. I have sadly come to the conclusion that this would simply not be the right thing to do, Johnson said in a statement. Money, Tokyo It was a jaw-dropping event even for the most jaded China. The United States recognizes the ongoing armed conflict and the extraordinary and temporary conditions engulfing Ethiopia, and [the Department of Homeland Security] is committed to providing temporary protection to those in need, U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas said. Black Panther 2, which originally released elsewhere in November 2022, will set the table on February 7, while Ant-Man 3 will hit Chinese movie theaters on February 17, day-and-date with North . All in all, in 37 cases, including the departing and remaining incumbents and first-time newcomers at both the Politburo and the PSC, we have witnessed 33 cases conforming with the age limit norm, two hard violations, and two soft or amendable violations. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. On October 23, the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) finally ended, with a dramatic closing ceremony. [19] Overall, the speech was said to be showing continuity rather than change. For instance, what has happened to the age limit norm, the most easily observable regulatory pattern that had stabilized Politburo politics for more than two decades? The language that Xi used in his work report on Taiwan was firm, but also largely familiar. Xi was able to dominate personnel selection because he had gained control already of the military, the security agencies, the organization/personnel system, and the propaganda system. Chinese leader Xi Jinping will be re-elected as the General Secretary of the CCP, or will be newly elected as the Chairman of the CCP, a title that has not been used since 1982, and the highest position held by Mao Zedong. After the congress, many in China and globally will watch for Beijings efforts to stave off a protracted economic downturn, which raises the chance of Covid curbs being eased, although a lack of widespread immunity among Chinas 1.4 billion people and the absence of more effective mRNA vaccines remain constraints. Hu Chunhuas departure, being the youngest of the cohort (59), is indeed unexpected, given his competitive advantages in age, experience, and ranking seniority. [10][11] This protest against Xi Jinping and his policies was rare as it came just days before the start of the Congress, a period during which the authorities imposed extremely tight control over protests and dissent. In this essay, I will first unpack what this age limit norm means in an effort to clear out some widespread flawed observations. This is something that Xi, as steeped in party history as he is, must be fully aware of and would have had a realistic chance to achieve. This mechanism provides the party and its top leader a valuable instrument for reinvigorating its elite corps and redistributing power on a large scale in a peaceful manner. The Politburo Standing Committee line-up brought a number of surprises, but Xi still seems to have operated within a broad institutional framework. I agree to abide by FPs comment guidelines. Li Zhanshu attempted to help him until being pulled back by Wang Huning. * Xi opened the week-long, twice-a-decade session with a speech touting China's fight against COVID-19, the party's safeguarding of national security, maintaining social stability, protecting people's lives and taking control of the situation in Hong Kong, which was rocked by anti-government protests in 2019.

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